GDP ANALYSIS OF UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

GDP of United Arab Emirates
from the Expenditure Perspective

Table 1.a.

Shows that the GDP of UAE in 2020 was around AED 1,311,248 million. During the same year, consumption (C) of UAE’s general public was AED 474,612 million; investments, AED 341,183 million; Government expenditures, AED 164,254 million; exports worth AED 1,324,400 million, and imports of AED 993,000 million.

It can be observed from the Table that the consumption and investment components of GDP are relatively more volatile than others over the period 2016-2020. 

Table 1.a. – Components of GDP of the United Arab Emirates at Current Prices
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

  2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Final Consumption Expenditure for Government 185,458 188,125 183,267 187,099 164,254
Final Consumption expenditure for HH 515,567 601,625 593,902 528,317 474,612
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 292,450 344,204 364,566 358,220 341,183
Exports of goods and services 1,231,160 1,483,860 1,442,790 1,410,400 1,324,400
Imports of Goods and Services 906,690 1,085,590 1,033,940 1,067,900 993,200
Total GDP 1,317,945.5 1,532,224.1 1,550,584.7 1,416,136.2 1,311,248.3

Table 1.b.

explains the distribution of GDP into its components as per the expenditure approach.

It is apparent that consumption accounts for the highest share i.e. around 36.2% of the GDP in 2020 reflecting the consumption-oriented nature of the economy.

expenditures, as a percentage of GDP, were decreasing since 2016 however increased in 2019 to 13.2%.

On the other hand, investments as a percent of GDP also increased to 26.02%. In addition, net exports were volatile and remained in the range of 24-26% of GDP.

  2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Final Consumption Expenditure for Government 14.07% 12.28% 11.82% 13.21% 12.53%
Final Consumption expenditure for HH 39.12% 39.26% 38.30% 37.31% 36.20%
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 22.19% 22.46% 23.51% 25.30% 26.02%
Exports of goods and services 93.42% 96.84% 93.05% 99.59% 101.00%
Imports of Goods and Services 68.80% 70.85% 66.68% 75.41% 75.74%
Net Exports 24.62% 25.99% 26.37% 24.18%
25.26%

Table 1.c.

Provides the annual growth rate of the components of the GDP.

It is apparent that the GDP growth rate has declined in both 2019 and 2020 amid a global economic lockdown due to a pandemic.

A major decline is due to the decrease in government expenditure as well as contraction in consumptions.

Table 1.c. – Annual Growth Rate of Components of GDP of United Arab Emirates
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

  2017 2018 2019 2020
Final Consumption Expenditure for Government 1.44 -2.58 2.09 -12.21
Final Consumption expenditure for HH 16.69 -1.28 -11.04 -10.17
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 17.70 5.92 -1.74 -4.76
Exports of goods and services 20.53 -2.77 -2.24 -6.10
Imports of Goods and Services 19.73 -4.76 3.28 -7.00
GDP Growth 16.26 1.20 -8.67 -7.41

GDP of United Arab Emirates
from the Production Perspective

Table 2.a.

Reflects that out of AED 1,317 billion GDP, non-financial corporations account for AED 1,085.8 billion which constitute around 82 percent of GDP.

It is followed by Financial & Insurance Activities and Public Administration & Defense which account for AER 129.8 billion (or 10%) and AED 102.4 billion (or 8%) respectively.

Interestingly, unlike other oil producing economies, Mining and Quarrying only account for 17.2 percent of GDP of UAE.

Table 2.a. – Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Economic Activity at Current Prices 
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

(Million Dirham) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Non-Financial Corporations 1,090,929 1,182,780 1,313,507 1,291,543 1,085,802
Agriculture,Forestry and Fishing 10,176 10,912 11,145 11,448 12,107
Mining and Quarrying (includes crude oil and natural gas) 253,148 289,986 402,935 347,387 227,136
Manufacturing 117,808 129,640 135,420 134,639 127,627
Electricity, gas, and Water Supply; Waste Management Activities 48,719 55,448 58,402 61,804 61,160
Construction 123,820 127,840 132,529 137,392 122,678
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 170,458 188,309 190,491 202,405 178,723
Transportation and Storage 80,434 84,730 86,895 89,705 68,747
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 31,631 31,831 32,117 32,553 26,100
Information and Communication 40,162 42,460 43,338 46,087 44,853
Financial and insurance activities 131,646 133,948 132,219 135,750 129,783
Real Estate Activities 89,357 90,410 82,718 80,380 72,993
Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 42,238 43,436 46,114 47,845 44,489
Administrative and Support Service Activities 29,814 28,655 29,611 31,953 30,650
Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security 88,673 99,408 104,858 104,931 102,361
Education 18,312 21,398 21,984 25,838 26,557
Human Health and Social work Activities 18,162 18,644 19,821 21,521 22,809
Arts,Recreation and Other Service Activities 7,836 9,601 9,843 9,785 9,000
Activities of Households as Employers 8,854 9,480 10,145 10,801 10,171
Total 1,311,248 1,416,136 1,550,585 1,532,224 1,317,946

 

Table 2.b.

Clearly indicate that the leading activity in generating GDP in UAE has been the mining and quarrying sector with the average share of the production of 17.2% in 2020 after declining from 25% in 2019.

It is followed by the Retail and Wholesale Trade sector with a share of 13.6% of GDP in 2020. It is followed by sectors including manufacturing and construction sectors with the contribution of 9.7% and 9.3% of GDP respectively.

Broadly, non-financial corporations, Finance and insurance activities, and public administration and defense accounted for 82.4%, 9.8%, and 7.8% respectively.  

Table 2.b. – Percent Share of Economic Activities in GDP of United Arab Emirates
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

(Million Dirham) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Non-Financial Corporations 83.2% 83.5% 84.7% 84.3% 82.4%
Agriculture,Forestry and Fishing 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9%
Mining and Quarrying (includes crude oil and natural gas) 19.3% 20.5% 26.0% 22.7% 17.2%
Manufacturing 9.0% 9.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.7%
Electricity, gas, and Water Supply; Waste Management Activities 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.6%
Construction 9.4% 9.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3%
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 13.0% 13.3% 12.3% 13.2% 13.6%
Transportation and Storage 6.1% 6.0% 5.6% 5.9% 5.2%
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0%
Information and Communication 3.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4%
Financial and insurance activities 10.0% 9.5% 8.5% 8.5% 9.8%
Real Estate Activities 6.8% 6.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.5%
Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4%
Administrative and Support Service Activities 2.3% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3%
Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8%
Education 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0%
Human Health and Social work Activities 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7%
Arts,Recreation and Other Service Activities 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
Activities of Households as Employers 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8%

Table 2.c.

provides us with the annual growth rate of economic activities in GDP in UAE.

It can be observed that almost all activities in 2020 posted negative growth rates amid Coronavirus Pandemic and the global supply-side disruption except agriculture, forestry & agriculture; education, and health sector.

Table 2.c. – Annual Growth Rate of Economic Activities in GDP of United Arab Emirates
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

(Million Dirham) 2017 2018 2019 2020
Non-Financial Corporations 8.42 11.05 -1.67 -15.93
Agriculture,Forestry and Fishing 7.23 2.13 2.73 5.75
Mining and Quarrying (includes crude oil and natural gas) 14.55 38.95 -13.79 -34.62
Manufacturing 10.04 4.46 -0.58 -5.21
Electricity, gas, and Water Supply; Waste Management Activities 13.81 5.33 5.83 -1.04
Construction 3.25 3.67 3.67 -10.71
Wholesale and Retail Trade; Repair of Motor Vehicles and Motorcycles 10.47 1.16 6.25 -11.70
Transportation and Storage 5.34 2.55 3.23 -23.36
Accommodation and Food Service Activities 0.63 0.90 1.36 -19.82
Information and Communication 5.72 2.07 6.34 -2.68
Financial and insurance activities 1.75 -1.29 2.67 -4.10
Real Estate Activities 1.18 -8.51 -2.83 -9.19
Professional, Scientific and Technical Activities 2.84 6.17 3.75 -7.01
Administrative and Support Service Activities -3.89 3.34 7.91 -4.08
Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security 12.11 5.48 0.07 -2.45
Education 16.85 2.74 17.53 2.78
Human Health and Social work Activities 2.65 6.31 8.58 5.99
Arts,Recreation and Other Service Activities 22.52 2.52 -0.59 -8.02
Activities of Households as Employers 7.07 7.01 6.47 -5.83

GDP of United Arab Emirates
from the Production Perspective

The corresponding figures for GDP and its breakup using the income approach are provided in Tables 3a, 3b, and 3c. Based on Table 3.a., the compensation of employees was AED 493,093 million.

The Gross Operating Surplus of businesses appear volatile and was AED 824,852 million in 2020. 

Table 3.a. – GDP in AED million using Income Approach 
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

Million AED 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Compensation of Employees 441,936 490,616 511,204 526,072 493,093
Gross Operating Surplus 869,313 925,520 1,039,380 1,006,153 824,852
Gross Domestic Product 1,311,248 1,416,136 1,550,585 1,532,224 1,317,946

It can be observed from Table 3b that the share of compensation of employees was 32.37% in 2018 which has now surged to 37.41% of GDP in 2020 whereas the share of the gross operating surplus of businesses decreased from 67% in 2018 to 62.6% in 2020. Similar to other GCC countries, share of compensation of employees in GDP exhibits increasing trend.

Table 3.b. – Percentage share for GDP using Income Approach 
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

Percentage Share (%) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Compensation of Employees 33.70% 34.64% 32.97% 34.33% 37.41%
Gross Operating Surplus 66.30% 65.36% 67.03% 65.67% 62.59%
Gross Domestic Product 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

From Table 3.c

compensation of employees posted highest surge in 2017 i.e. of 11% whereas exhibited negative growth of 6.3% over the 2017-2020. Gross operating surplus on the other contracted by 18% in 2020.

In comparing Table 3b and 3c, it can be seen that though compensation of employees as a percent of GDP has increased however it has decreased in absolute terms in 2020. Overall GDP also contracted by around 14% in 2020.

Table 3.c. – Annual Growth of GDP using Income Approach 
Source: Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre, UAE

Annual Growth (%) 2017 2018 2019 2020
Compensation of Employees 11.02 4.20 2.91 -6.27
Gross Operating Surplus 6.47 12.30 -3.20 -18.02
Gross Domestic Product 8.00 9.49 -1.18
-13.98