Nominal GDP vs Real GDP Analysis for UAE

Nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 

Trends in Nominal GDP

The times series of nominal GDP from 1975 till 2020 for the economy of UAE is presented in figure 21.

It is indicated by the figure mentioned below that Nominal GDP of UAE is increasing continuously with steady pace, however, it gained momentum since 2001 and reached to its peak 2008.

Due to global recession the nominal output of the UAE’s economy dropped down in 2009.

Another brief period of economic downturn for UAE was between 2014 to 2018.

Covid-19 pandemic also hit the UAE’s economy badly and the nominal GDP declined in 2020 as depicted by graph below.

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Nominal gdp (in us$ billion)Figure 21: trend in nominal gdp of united arab emirates19751976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920200100B200B300B400B500B

Source: World Bank

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Nominal GDP Growth (%)Figure 22: annual growth rate of nominal gdp of uae197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-2002040-4060

Source: World Bank

Growth Rate of Nominal GDP

The annual growth rate of nominal GDP from 1975 till 2019 for UAE’s economy is showed in Figure 22.

It is indicated by the figure mentioned below that growth rate of nominal GDP showed the volatile behaviour during 1975 till 2019.

Growth of nominal GDP reached to its peak in 1980 had a magnitude of 0.396, after that it started declining sharply and remained negative in the duration of 1983 till 1986, it followed the effect of global recession 1982.

Its magnitude become worst in 1986 had a value of -0.164. In 2009, due to global recession it became worst reached to the value of -0.196.

Further Covid-19 pandemic also hit it badly and it magnitude reached to -0.1398.

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)  

Trends in Real GDP

The time series of Real GDP from 1975 till 2020 for UAE’s economy is represented by figure 23.

It is indicated that nominal GDP exhibit increasing trend from 1975 till 2019.

Figure shows that economy of UAE experienced down fall of real output during 1986 to 1989 after which robust economy recovery was witnessed till 2008 before the global economic meltdown of 2008-09.

Covid-19 also hit the economy of UAE acutely and the real GDP in 2020 fell down. 

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Real gdp (in usd billion)figure 23: trend in real gdp of uae19751976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920200100B200B300B400B500B

Source: World Bank

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Real gdp growth (%)Figure 24: Growth Rate of Real GDP of UAE197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-20-100102030

Source: World Bank

Growth Rate of Real GDP

The situation of Growth rate of real GDP from 1976 till 2020 is shown by figure 24.

It is indicated that economy achieved a highest growth rate of real GDP in 1980, i.e. 24 percent, after which growth rate declined and became negative in 1982 due to global recession in the same year.

Overall graph shows the fluctuating behaviour of growth rate of real GDP.

Growth rate became negative in 2009 had reached to the value -5.2 percent due to the global recession in 2009.

Covid-19 also hit the economy of UAE badly, consequently growth rate of real GDP fell down to 6.1 percent in 2020.

Real Goss Domestic Product (GDP) Per Capita
 

Trends in Nominal GDP

The time series of per capita real GDP of UAE from 1975 till 2020 is presented by Figure 25.

Per capita real GDP declined in 1978 sharply and reached to the value USD 90,889.9 after it followed the recovery phase and reached USD 111,574.2 in 1980.

During 1980-1988, a sharp decline in per capita GDP can be seen which, after a brief period of increase (during 1989-1990), again resumed downward trajectory till 2010.

In 2009, a sharp drop in real GDP per capita is due to global recession likewise in 2020 the per capita GDP declined because of Covid-19 pandemic, consequently economy’ per capita real GDP reached to USD 37,497.6 in 2020.

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Real GDP Per Capita ( in USD thousands)Figure 25: trend in real gdp per capita of uae197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020k40k60k80k100k120k

Source: World Bank

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Real gdp growth (%)Figure 26: growth rate of real gdp per capita of uae197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-30-20-1001020

Source: World Bank

Growth Rate of Real GDP Per Capita

The growth rate of per capita GDP of UAE from 10976 till 2020 is demonstrated by figure 26.

It is indicated that growth of real GDP per capita reached at maximum in 1980 i.e. 13.2 percent but declined sharply since then and reached to the lowest i.e. -19.7 percent in 1986.

Figure shows the volatile behaviour of per person real GDP of UAE. In 2009, another episode of economic downturn took the growth rate to -15.2 percent due to global recession.

Further, UAE’s economy faced a negative growth of per capita GDP in 2020 due to Covid-19 pandemic.   

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Deflator 

Trends in GDP Deflator

The behaviour of GDP deflator (price level) from 1976 till 2020 for the UAE’s economy is presented by figure 27.

It is indicated that price level fluctuated during the time span. In 1987 economy faced negative price level of -3.66%, after that the price level increases reached to 9.5% in 1980.

In 1984 it faced again negative price level.  Economy experienced highest Price level of 18.53% in 2008.

Due to 2009 global recession economy faced a situation of negative price level and it stood at -15.18%.

In 2015 economy further experienced a negative price level and the price level reached to -15.44%. In 2020 economy of UAE again faced the price level hit to -8.36%. 

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Gdp deflator (inflation, %)Figure 27: trend in gdp deflator of uae197619771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-20-100102030

Source: World Bank

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6GDP Deflator Growth (%)Figure 28: growth rate of gdp deflator (inflation) of uae19771978197919801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-20-1001020

Source: World Bank

Growth Rate of GDP Deflator (Inflation)

The time series of growth rate of GDP deflator from 1977 till 2020 is reflected by Figure 28.

Figure mentioned below indicated the fluctuating behaviour of growth rate of GDP deflator (inflation) during the time span.

It is indicated that the growth of GDP deflator fell drastically in 1995 and deflation reached to -15.89.

Further, in 2015 it increased sharply and inflation stood at 14.07. 

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per Person Employed 

Trends in GDP per Person Employed 

The GDP employment time series of UAE from 1991 till 20210 is shown in figure 29.

It is indicated by the figure mentioned below that there exists a decreasing trend in the GDP employment rate.

From 1991 the rate continuously declined at a sluggish rate, but from 2004 it declined sharply and in 2010 it stood at 82156.1. After 2010 it increased gradually.

In 2020 it slightly declined and stood at 101411.7, due to Covid-19 pandemic.   

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6GDP Per Person Employed (USD thousands)Figure 29: trend of gdp per person employed rate of uae19911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202075k100k125k150k175k200k225k

Source: World Bank

s

Created with Highcharts 6.0.6Gdp per person employed growth (%)Figure 30: growth rate of gdp per person employed19921993199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020-20-15-10-50510

Source: World Bank

Growth Rate of GDP Per Person Employed 

The growth pattern of GDP per person employed in UAE from 1992 till 2020 is provided in Figure 30.

It is indicated by the figure below that there exists volatility in the growth rate of GDP per person employed.

The growth rate of GDP per person employed to drastically since 2003 and touched the lowest i.e. 16.1 percent in 2009 due to the global recession in the same year.

In 2020, the growth rate also became negative and stood at -1.9 percent due to the COVID-19 pandemic.